January 6th Concerns
Overview
There are four paths:
P1: The MAGA regime has lost control of both houses of Congress on Jan 3rd. P2: The MAGA regime has control of the House, but not of the Senate. P3: The MAGA regime has control of the Senate, but not of the House. P4: The MAGA regime has control of both houses of Congress.
There are three contingencies for the above paths:
C1: The MAGA regime has violated the Will of the People to maintain control in paths P2, P3 or P4. C2: The MAGA regime has the legitimate support of the Will of the People in maintaining control in paths P2, P3 or P4. C3: There has been sufficient confusion around the election’s legitimacy to cloud what the Will of the People actually was.
Assessment of actions.
If C3 is the case, then our nation is in deep trouble. However, as of October 2025, this appears unlikely based on polling conditions and economic forecasts.
Similarly, if C2 is the case then our nation is in deep trouble. This also, as of October 2025, appears unlikely.
If C1 is the case, then we are at a Plan B(2) inflection point. (This needs a link to an as-yet-unwritten Substack essay. )
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